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$154.4b

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$290,393,159

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2,984,640,614

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$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NASCAR: National Debt Relief 250 Winner
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win NASCAR National Debt Relief 250?

Volume:
$595,863

Carson Kvapil

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 7:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Carson Kvapil

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61,952
N/A
N/A
$46,739
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Carson Kvapil

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 23m
Yes
kalshi

Justin Allgaier

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,252
N/A
N/A
$49,303
Settled
No
polymarket

Justin Allgaier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 23m
No
kalshi

Corey Day

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,789
N/A
N/A
$30,739
Settled
No
polymarket

Corey Day

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 23m
No
kalshi

Brent Crews

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,350
N/A
N/A
$27,306
Settled
No
polymarket

Brent Crews

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 23m
No
kalshi

Sammy Smith

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,916
N/A
N/A
$33,027
Settled
No
polymarket

Sammy Smith

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 23m
No
kalshi

Taylor Gray

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,220
N/A
N/A
$32,229
Settled
No
polymarket

Taylor Gray

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 23m
No
kalshi

Jesse Love

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,228
N/A
N/A
$28,788
Settled
No
polymarket

Jesse Love

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 23m
No
kalshi

William Sawalich

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,384
N/A
N/A
$25,375
Settled
No
polymarket

William Sawalich

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 23m
No
kalshi

Harrison Burton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,717
N/A
N/A
$31,288
Settled
No
polymarket

Harrison Burton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 23m
No
kalshi

Sam Mayer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,194
N/A
N/A
$26,554
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam Mayer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 23m
No
kalshi

Sheldon Creed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,141
N/A
N/A
$23,304
Settled
No
polymarket

Sheldon Creed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 23m
No
kalshi

Brandon Jones

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,792
N/A
N/A
$21,262
Settled
No
polymarket

Brandon Jones

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 23m
No
kalshi

Rajah Caruth

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,715
N/A
N/A
$22,269
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 82

Description

This prediction group concerns the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series National Debt Relief 250 race scheduled for October 31, 2026. The markets ask forecasters to predict which driver will finish in first place, according to official NASCAR results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket rely on the official NASCAR race results to determine the winner, and both specify that post-publication disqualifications will not affect resolution.Primary resolution logic: Official NASCAR website (nascar.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the driver who finishes first in the official NASCAR race results.
  • Post-race disqualifications that do not change the official results will not affect resolution.
  • If the race is canceled or rescheduled more than 7 days after the original date, the market will resolve to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Race Cancellation/Reschedule: If the race is canceled or rescheduled to a date more than 7 days after the original scheduled date (October 31, 2026), the market will resolve to 'Other'.
  • Tie: In the unlikely event of a tie for first place, NASCAR's official results will determine the winner, and the market will resolve accordingly.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the official race results are published by NASCAR, typically shortly after the race concludes.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series National Debt Relief 250, scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series National Debt Relief 250 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official results of the 2026 National Debt Relief 250 NASCAR race scheduled for October 31, 2026. For each driver listed, the market resolves to 'Yes' only if that specific driver finishes first in the main race. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to 'No'. The race must start within 48 hours of its original schedule to remain valid; otherwise, all markets resolve to a fair price. Official NASCAR results are the sole determinant, with provisional results disregarded until final confirmation. Kalshi explicitly states no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR National Debt Relief 250 market tracks the probability of various drivers winning the race. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $595,863, with $488,209 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of who is favored to win, combining insights from different prediction market participants. The dashboard displays real-time probabilities, volume, and price movements, offering a comprehensive overview of the market’s sentiment regarding the upcoming race. It’s a dynamic representation of collective forecasting.