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419,492

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NASCAR National Debt Relief 250: Top 3 Finishers
kalshi

Who will finish in the top 3?

Volume:
$29,480

Justin Allgaier

 - Kalshi

Justin Allgaier - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 7:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Justin Allgaier

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,851
N/A
N/A
$8,470
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corey Day

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,029
N/A
N/A
$1,884
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carson Kvapil

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,620
N/A
N/A
$1,459
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brent Crews

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,394
N/A
N/A
$2,376
Settled
No
kalshi

Rajah Caruth

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,604
N/A
N/A
$1,460
Settled
No
kalshi

Jesse Love

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,514
N/A
N/A
$1,445
Settled
No
kalshi

Taylor Gray

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,426
N/A
N/A
$1,315
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthony Alfredo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,311
N/A
N/A
$1,311
Settled
No
kalshi

Sammy Smith

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,278
N/A
N/A
$1,267
Settled
No
kalshi

Sheldon Creed

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,172
N/A
N/A
$1,024
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Jones

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,057
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
kalshi

William Sawalich

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,055
N/A
N/A
$1,055
Settled
No
kalshi

Dean Thompson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$916
N/A
N/A
$911
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Mayer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$884
N/A
N/A
$654
Settled
No
kalshi

Harrison Burton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$742
N/A
N/A
$742
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Retzlaff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
$394
Settled
No
kalshi

Lee Pulliam

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$378
N/A
N/A
$377
Settled
No
kalshi

Brennan Poole

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
$311
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Staropoli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
$311
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeb Burton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$234
N/A
N/A
$234
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeremy Clements

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Sieg

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Gase

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Ellis

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if any listed driver achieves a top-three finish. The outcome depends solely on the official race results, with no consideration for partial or provisional standings.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes only if the specified driver finishes in one of the top three positions in the main race originally scheduled for October 31, 2026, at the NASCAR National Debt Relief 250. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to No. The race must start within 48 hours of its original schedule; otherwise, all markets resolve to a fair price. Official NASCAR results are used for determination, with provisional results disregarded. Kalshi explicitly states it has no official affiliation with NASCAR or the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR race outcome tracks the continuously updating probabilities of different drivers finishing in the top 3. It displays the current prices for each possible outcome, reflecting what traders are willing to pay for a ‘yes’ vote on that driver. You’ll also find the total volume traded on this market, currently at $29,325, and the 24-hour volume, which is $23,759. This allows you to monitor market activity and see how sentiment is shifting leading up to the race.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of each driver finishing in the top 3. Often, you’ll find that this market incorporates information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, potentially leading to different probabilities. It’s a useful comparison to see where public opinion diverges from professional analysis.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of each driver finishing in the top 3. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% probability. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market adjusts dynamically as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, creating a real-time assessment of the race’s potential outcomes.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the NASCAR National Debt Relief 250 are verifiable from credible public reporting. The drivers who officially finish in the top 3 positions will determine the winning contracts. The platform will then verify the results against official sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to contract holders who correctly predicted the top 3 finishers. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected weather conditions, mechanical failures during practice or qualifying, or even driver injuries could all shift probabilities. News regarding team strategy changes or driver performance in recent races will also be closely watched. Any significant updates related to driver health or vehicle reliability will likely cause fluctuations in the prices of contracts for affected drivers. Keep an eye on racing news and analysis to understand potential catalysts for movement in this market.