TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Race at Phoenix, scheduled for Oct 16, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Race at Phoenix is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Race at Phoenix, scheduled for Oct 16, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Race at Phoenix is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each driver winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that driver winning the race, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular driver, the higher their price rises, reflecting increased confidence. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price, indicating decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series race at Phoenix are verifiable from credible public reporting. The driver who crosses the finish line first will be declared the winner, and that result will determine the settlement of this market. Any potential disqualifications or official adjustments made by NASCAR will also be considered in determining the final outcome. Traders should monitor official NASCAR announcements for any updates that may impact the resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Unexpected weather changes at Phoenix Raceway, such as rain or extreme heat, could alter driver strategies and impact performance. Any major mechanical issues or crashes during practice or qualifying sessions involving top contenders would also likely cause shifts in the odds. News regarding driver health or team personnel changes could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about vehicle setups or tire strategies could influence traders’ perceptions of each driver’s chances of winning.