TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NASCAR: Freeway Insurance 500 Winner
polymarket

Who will win NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500?

Volume:
$0

Brad Keselowski

 - Polymarket

Brad Keselowski - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 10:18 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

AJ Allmendinger

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyle Larson

0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Austin Dillon

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ricky Stenhouse Jr

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Denny Hamlin

0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Joey Logano

0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chase Elliott

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ryan Blaney

0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chris Buescher

0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael McDowell

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ty Dillon

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Daniel Suarez

0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Erik Jones

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Darrell Wallace Jr

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ryan Preece

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ross Chastain

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cody Ware

0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cole Custer

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Bowman

0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Christopher Bell

0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tyler Reddick

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

William Byron

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

John Hunter Nemechek

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Austin Hill

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 43

Description

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Freeway Insurance 500, scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Freeway Insurance 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Freeway Insurance 500, scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Freeway Insurance 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s odds are determined by traders actively buying and selling contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a driver has a higher or lower chance of winning than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts for that driver will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to prediction markets offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information surfaces.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500 will be determined by the official results published by NASCAR. The market will settle to 100% probability for the winning driver, and 0% for all others. Any potential disqualifications or official adjustments to the race results will be considered in determining the final outcome and the market’s resolution.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Unexpected driver injuries, changes in weather forecasts affecting race conditions, or significant performance improvements in a driver’s vehicle could all shift trader sentiment. News regarding team strategies, engine changes, or even driver interviews expressing confidence or concern can also impact the market. Major accidents during practice or qualifying sessions could also lead to significant price adjustments, as traders reassess the probabilities of each driver winning the NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500.