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NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 20 Finishers
kalshi

NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 20 Finishers

Volume:
$22,968

Connor Zilisch

 - Kalshi

Connor Zilisch - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 7:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,437
N/A
N/A
$1,020
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Todd Gilliland

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$932
N/A
N/A
$932
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
$540
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Cindric

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
$526
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$525
N/A
N/A
$525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$516
N/A
N/A
$516
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Zane Smith

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
$494
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Berry

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
$431
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Noah Gragson

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$465
N/A
N/A
$462
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniel Suarez

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$464
N/A
N/A
$464
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corey Heim

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$386
N/A
N/A
$283
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$246
N/A
N/A
$246
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
$235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
$156
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
$127
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cody Ware

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,261
N/A
N/A
$2,422
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael McDowell

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,942
N/A
N/A
$960
Settled
No
kalshi

Cole Custer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,388
N/A
N/A
$1,287
Settled
No
kalshi

Erik Jones

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,144
N/A
N/A
$959
Settled
No
kalshi

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$897
N/A
N/A
$865
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if each selected driver achieves a top-20 finish based on official results.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified NASCAR driver finishes in the top 20 positions in the main race originally scheduled for October 18, 2026, at the NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to No. The race must be conducted within 48 hours of its original schedule to maintain market validity; otherwise, all markets resolve to a fair price. Official NASCAR results are the sole basis for resolution, with no consideration given to provisional standings. Kalshi explicitly states no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR top 20 finishers market displays the current prices for each driver to finish within the top 20, along with a price history chart showing how those prices have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $12,110, and the total volume traded to date, which is $22,928. This allows you to gauge market interest and identify potential trading opportunities within this specific market. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of how traders are assessing the probabilities of different outcomes.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by analysts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the views of many traders. As the event approaches, the prices in this market tend to converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and public sentiment solidifies. However, discrepancies can still exist, potentially offering arbitrage opportunities for informed traders who can identify mispricings between the two.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a driver finishing in the top 20. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about that driver's chances. As more traders buy a contract, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of each driver's potential performance.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official finishing order of the NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which drivers finished within the top 20 based on the official race results. Any adjustments or penalties applied after the race will be considered in determining the final standings for resolution purposes. The results will be sourced from official NASCAR data and confirmed by the platform.

Several factors could significantly impact the prices in this market. Driver performance in practice sessions and qualifying rounds will be key indicators. Unexpected weather conditions during the race could also shift probabilities, favoring drivers with experience in those conditions. News regarding driver health, mechanical issues, or team strategy changes could also cause substantial price movements. Finally, any late-breaking information about track conditions or competitor performance will likely be reflected in the market prices as traders adjust their predictions.