TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Sports
NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 10 Finishers
kalshi

NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 10 Finishers

Volume:
$64,496

Ross Chastain

 - Kalshi

Ross Chastain - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 7:19 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,767
N/A
N/A
$3,689
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,477
N/A
N/A
$2,425
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,750
N/A
N/A
$1,387
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,735
N/A
N/A
$1,574
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joey Logano

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,392
N/A
N/A
$1,377
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniel Suarez

100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,375
N/A
N/A
$1,356
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corey Heim

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,289
N/A
N/A
$1,236
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,286
N/A
N/A
$1,266
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Elliott

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,224
N/A
N/A
$1,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Bell

100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,040
N/A
N/A
$1,019
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Berry

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,058
N/A
N/A
$6,588
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,098
N/A
N/A
$3,777
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,069
N/A
N/A
$3,822
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Larson

0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,481
N/A
N/A
$2,425
Settled
No
kalshi

Todd Gilliland

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,080
N/A
N/A
$2,678
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael McDowell

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,797
N/A
N/A
$2,644
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,559
N/A
N/A
$2,225
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,371
N/A
N/A
$1,498
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,243
N/A
N/A
$1,964
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Allmendinger

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,779
N/A
N/A
$1,636
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Cindric

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,778
N/A
N/A
$1,628
Settled
No
kalshi

Erik Jones

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,643
N/A
N/A
$1,377
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,586
N/A
N/A
$1,485
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane van Gisbergen

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,257
N/A
N/A
$1,184
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,049
N/A
N/A
$1,041
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if each selected driver achieves a top-10 finish position. The outcomes reflect the competitive skill and race conditions impacting each driver's ability to secure a high placement in the final results.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified NASCAR driver finishes in the top 10 during the main race of the 2026 NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500 scheduled for October 18, 2026. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to No. The race must commence within 48 hours of its original schedule time for the market to remain active; otherwise, all markets resolve to a fair price if the race is canceled or not started. Official NASCAR results are used for resolution, with determinations made only after final race results are posted by NASCAR and not based on provisional standings.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the odds for each driver to finish in the top 10 of the NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500, along with the price history of those outcomes. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume for the NASCAR top 10 finishers market, which currently stands at $39,764. The total volume for this market is $64,487. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see which drivers are attracting the most attention from traders.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows anyone to participate and express their view. You may find that the implied probabilities from Kalshi align with sportsbook odds for heavily favored drivers, but diverge for those with more uncertain outcomes. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who identify discrepancies between the two.

On Kalshi, the market for the NASCAR top 10 finishers is priced through a demand-and-supply mechanism. Traders actively buy and sell contracts corresponding to each driver, and the price of these contracts fluctuates based on the level of interest. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Essentially, the price represents the market's estimated probability of a driver achieving a top-10 finish. Increased buying pressure drives up the price, while selling pressure lowers it. This creates a constantly updating forecast based on the aggregated opinions of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500 are verifiable from credible public reporting. The drivers who officially finish within the top 10 positions will determine the winning contracts. The market’s resolution will be based on the final, official race standings published by NASCAR. Any post-race penalties or disqualifications that affect the top 10 finishers will be factored into the resolution process.

Numerous factors could cause shifts in this market before it resolves around Oct 19, 2026. Significant news regarding driver health, such as a late-stage injury, would be a major catalyst. Changes to the car setup or crew chief assignments could also impact a driver’s perceived chances. Unexpected weather forecasts for race day, like the potential for rain, will likely influence trading. Even in-race events, such as early cautions or crashes involving key contenders, could lead to substantial price movements as traders react to unfolding circumstances.