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NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner
Sports
kalshi
polymarket

NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner

Total volume:
$4,093,717
Volume 24h:
$3,101,047
520%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$3,267,395
256%

Ryan Blaney

all

2 markets

Kalshi

100%

Polymarket

100%

consensus

100%

+41.5%

spread

100-100%

(0pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

20%40%60%80%

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 25

Vol.

$500.1k

·

Resolves Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 8:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
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Chance %
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Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks who will win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 race. The aggregated consensus probability for Ryan Blaney to win is 100.0%, drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on the official NASCAR website and consensus of credible sports news reporting. Watch for the race results on August 23, 2026, which will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms resolve based on NASCAR's official published race results for the 2026 Dollar Tree 301, using the driver officially listed in first place at the time of results publication.Primary resolution logic: Official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and consensus of credible sports news reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves for any driver listed if they are officially declared the winner in NASCAR's published race results
  • Post-publication disqualifications or adjustments do not affect resolution
  • If the race is canceled or rescheduled more than 7 days after the original date (Aug 23, 2026), markets resolve to 'Other' or 'No' where applicable

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Race Cancellation/Rescheduling: If the race is canceled or rescheduled to a date more than 7 days after August 23, 2026, all driver-specific markets resolve to 'No' or 'Other' depending on platform structure
  • Official Results Delay: Resolution occurs when official results are published by NASCAR, even if delayed beyond the race date
Timing: Resolution occurs after NASCAR publishes the official race results for the 2026 Dollar Tree 301, typically shortly after the race concludesOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

If Ross Chastain finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael McDowell finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Noah Gragson finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brad Keselowski finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bubba Wallace finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cody Ware finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ty Gibbs finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cole Custer finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If John H. Nemechek finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Blaney finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carson Hocevar finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Larson finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If AJ Allmendinger finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Bowman finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Preece finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Suárez finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joey Logano finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Reddick finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Todd Gilliland finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chase Elliott finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zane Smith finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chase Briscoe finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christopher Bell finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Hill finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erik Jones finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Berry finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If William Byron finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ricky Stenhouse finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shane Van Gisbergen finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Dillon finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connor Zilisch finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ty Dillon finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denny Hamlin finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Cindric finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Buescher finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Riley Herbst finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NASCAR Dollar Tree 301 winner market aggregates data from multiple platforms, showing real-time probabilities and volume across venues. It tracks how traders on different prediction markets price the chances of each driver winning the race, offering a consensus view of market sentiment. You can see total volume of $1,202,502 and 24-hour volume of $658,309, plus the top outcomes as ranked by users on each platform. This gives a live snapshot of where the market stands for the NASCAR Dollar Tree 301 winner market.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the race result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning driver’s official placement will settle all contracts, reflecting the final line-up and any post-race determinations such as disqualifications. Until that point, the market remains open for trading based on evolving predictions and news.

Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include practice session performances, qualifying results, weather forecasts, and any last-minute driver changes or penalties. News about team strategy adjustments, pit-stop innovations, or even fuel consumption concerns can also sway trader sentiment. As the race approaches, updates from official NASCAR sources and media coverage will heavily influence how probabilities evolve on each platform.