TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:08 AM EST
Kalshi
The market tracks which racing team secures the victory in a major NASCAR event scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each participating team has its own outcome, reflecting whether that specific team claims the win. Results are determined after official race completion, with adjustments for postponements or cancellations.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified team finishes in first place in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400. Official NASCAR results are used; provisional results are not considered. If the race is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the race is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with NASCAR or any racing team, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event nears and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and often influenced by public betting patterns, creating potential discrepancies. It's common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines as traders incorporate unique insights.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official finishing order of the NASCAR Bank of America 400 race. The team that achieves the highest finishing position will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The final results will be sourced from official NASCAR race results and verified against credible public sources. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive outcome and resolution timing.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the race concludes. Unexpected driver injuries, changes in weather conditions, or mechanical failures during practice or qualifying could all shift the probabilities. News regarding team strategies, car performance updates, or even driver comments could also impact trading activity. Major upsets in qualifying rounds, where a less-favored driver secures a top starting position, would likely cause a reassessment of odds. Any significant news related to the participating teams or drivers has the potential to move this market considerably.