TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the Napoli vs Roma match. Participants are assessing the likelihood of either team securing a dominant win, with different thresholds for victory margins.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Napoli or Roma wins the professional Serie A soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A market resolves to 'Yes' if Napoli wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Roma wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The secondary rule states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the Napoli vs Roma match. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can arise from varying information access or differing interpretations of the same data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Napoli vs Roma match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. As more volume is traded, the prices tend to converge towards a more accurate representation of the event's likelihood. This creates a real-time assessment of the game's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Napoli vs Roma match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, including any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Napoli or Roma could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role, as could significant shifts in public opinion or expert predictions. Major news stories affecting team morale or key players would also likely cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely impact the prices in this market.