TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a league fixture, where each aims to score during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The focus is on whether both teams manage to find the net within the standard match duration. This scenario highlights the offensive capabilities of both sides in a pivotal encounter.
If Napoli and Roma both score a goal in the Napoli vs Roma Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but are also influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, however, allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome, potentially leading to odds that more accurately represent the true probability of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or interpretations between market participants and sportsbook operators.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Napoli vs Roma match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of 'Yes' (both teams to score). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of those trading on the event.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Napoli and Roma score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net, and the result will be reflected in the market's final settlement. The outcome is based on the full 90 minutes of regular play, plus any added time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Napoli or Roma would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a team's attacking prowess or defensive weaknesses could further contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential shifts in the perceived probability of both teams scoring.