TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Napoli will win its professional Serie A soccer game against Roma. Currently, Kalshi gives Napoli a 56.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 26.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the Napoli vs Roma game, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 24, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Napoli vs Roma professional Serie A soccer match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Napoli wins, the 'Napoli' market resolves to Yes. If Roma wins, the 'Roma' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Napoli vs Roma match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Napoli vs Roma match, as reported by a widely recognized sports news source. The market will determine which outcome – a Napoli win, a Roma win, or a draw – occurred during the scheduled match. All outstanding contracts will be settled based on this verified result, paying out according to the contract terms.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 24, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Napoli or Roma would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or broader shifts in public opinion regarding their performance, could also contribute to price movements within this market.