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$290,393,159

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420,493

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Napoli vs Roma
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What is the result of Napoli vs Roma?

Volume:
$4,324,043

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 1:55 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$760,066
N/A
N/A
$332,363
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Roma

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,120,092
N/A
N/A
$1,140,439
Settled
No
kalshi

Napoli

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,443,884
N/A
N/A
$621,877
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Napoli will win its professional Serie A soccer game against Roma. Currently, Kalshi gives Napoli a 56.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 26.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the Napoli vs Roma game, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 24, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Napoli vs Roma professional Serie A soccer match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Napoli wins, the 'Napoli' market resolves to Yes. If Roma wins, the 'Roma' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s odds are driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the outcome of the Napoli vs Roma match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the varying motivations of bettors versus prediction market traders. Examining these differences can sometimes reveal insights into public perception versus informed speculation.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Napoli vs Roma match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Napoli vs Roma match, as reported by a widely recognized sports news source. The market will determine which outcome – a Napoli win, a Roma win, or a draw – occurred during the scheduled match. All outstanding contracts will be settled based on this verified result, paying out according to the contract terms.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 24, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Napoli or Roma would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or broader shifts in public opinion regarding their performance, could also contribute to price movements within this market.