TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 2.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 2.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:13h:01m
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This event covers various thresholds for total goals in an upcoming Serie A match between Napoli and Lazio. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific numerical limits.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams during the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the aggregate goals surpass the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The match must be the official Serie A game scheduled for November 8, 2026, and Kalshi explicitly states no official affiliation with the league or its trademarks.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. It's common to see this market odds move in response to news or late-breaking information that hasn't fully impacted sportsbook lines yet, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Napoli vs Lazio match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a collective assessment of the likely outcome, creating a dynamic and informative prediction tool.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Napoli vs Lazio match, as officially recorded by the governing football league, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics and will be publicly available following the completion of the game. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late injury reports for key players on either Napoli or Lazio could significantly shift expectations regarding scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might also impact the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Any news regarding team formations, tactical adjustments, or even pre-match comments from managers could also move the market. Unexpected events during the match itself, like early red cards, could also cause rapid price fluctuations.