TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Lazio wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Lazio wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:18h:16m
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This event evaluates different winning margins for Napoli or Lazio in their upcoming Serie A encounter. The result hinges on the goal differential exceeding particular values for each team.
Markets resolve according to the goal differential if either team achieves a victory by more than the stated margin (2.5 or 1.5 goals) within the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The specific outcome 'Yes' applies when Napoli wins by over 2.5 goals, Napoli wins by over 1.5 goals, Lazio wins by over 1.5 goals, or Lazio wins by over 2.5 goals, contingent on the official November 8, 2026, Serie A match. Kalshi disclaims any formal association with the league or its intellectual property.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from initial sportsbook odds due to differing information and motivations among bettors. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows individuals to express their independent beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the Napoli vs Lazio match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Napoli vs Lazio match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe Napoli will win by a certain margin, the price of those contracts will increase, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume available at different price points, indicating the strength of conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Napoli vs Lazio match, specifically the goal difference at the end of regulation time. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the final outcome of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 8, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Napoli or Lazio would likely cause price adjustments. Any news regarding team formations, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could also impact trading activity. Unexpected results in other matches affecting team morale or league standings could also play a role. Furthermore, significant public endorsements or analyses from football experts could shift sentiment and move the market for the Napoli vs Lazio match.