TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Serie A soccer match between Napoli and Frosinone. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Napoli vs Frosinone Serie A match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time—intrinsic to regular time and not including extra time or penalty phases—must exceed the respective threshold. All markets share this core resolution mechanism, focusing solely on the standard match duration and goals counted within that frame. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official ties to the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective rights holders.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Napoli vs Frosinone match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic representation of expectations. This contrasts with fixed-odds betting, where the odds are set in advance and do not change based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Napoli vs Frosinone match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics reported by a recognized sports data provider. The total goals scored, including any own goals, will determine the winning contract in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the match concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Napoli or Frosinone would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect the market. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before the match could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception and betting trends observed elsewhere could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.