TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional Champions League soccer match between Napoli and Bodoe/Glimt. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match timeframe.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Napoli and Bodoe/Glimt in their Champions League match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market defines a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The governing body’s official match record determines the resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by traders on Kalshi, tends to aggregate diverse opinions and information, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they diverge significantly from the prediction market price. It’s useful to compare both to inform your own assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs, and conversely, the amount a seller receives for offering that contract.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Napoli vs Bodoe/Glimt match will be used to determine the winning contract. Official match data from recognized sports authorities will be the basis for verification. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result, based on the actual event outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Napoli or Bodoe/Glimt would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to new information.