TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Napoli and Bodoe/Glimt, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Napoli vs Bodoe/Glimt Champions League match scheduled for October 20, 2026. Four distinct outcome scenarios are considered: Napoli winning by more than 2.5 goals, Napoli winning by more than 1.5 goals, Bodoe/Glimt winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Bodoe/Glimt winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The governing rules emphasize that the event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely result of the Napoli vs Bodoe/Glimt match, or that one venue has incorporated information the other hasn't.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price can fluctuate based on supply and demand, and new information impacting expectations for the Napoli vs Bodoe/Glimt match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Napoli vs Bodoe/Glimt match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can cause price movements, as traders react to perceived information advantages or changes in sentiment regarding the Napoli vs Bodoe/Glimt match. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential shifts in the market.