TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Napoli or Bodoe/Glimt will win their Champions League soccer match. Currently, Kalshi gives Napoli a 99.0% probability of winning, while Bodoe/Glimt is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Napoli vs Bodoe/Glimt professional soccer game as reported by the official result, with resolution determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep a close watch on the match itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Bodoe/Glimt wins the game originally scheduled for October 20, 2026.
The event resolves based on the result of the Napoli vs Bodoe/Glimt professional Champions League soccer match originally scheduled for October 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Napoli market occurs if Napoli wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Bodoe/Glimt market occurs if Bodoe/Glimt secures a victory within the same timeframe. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution explicitly excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the probability of an outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event nears.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and beliefs of all participants, creating a real-time probability assessment for the Napoli vs Bodoe/Glimt match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Napoli vs Bodoe/Glimt match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, can impact trading activity and move the odds. Even late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.