TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Napoli Basketball vs. Reyer Venezia
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Napoli Basketball vs. Reyer Venezia?

Volume:
$22,288

Napoli Basket

 - Kalshi

Napoli Basket - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 8:15 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Napoli Basket

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,264
N/A
N/A
$7,864
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Napoli Basketball vs. Reyer Venezia

100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,928
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 11h 39m
Yes
polymarket

O/U 176.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Napoli Basketball (-4.5)

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reyer Venezia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,049
N/A
N/A
$7,690
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This group covers markets on the Serie A basketball game between Napoli Basketball and Reyer Venezia, scheduled for November 1st. Markets include predicting the winner, the total points scored, and the point spread. Resolution relies on the official final score from flashscoreusa.com.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines both possible winning outcomes as resolving to 'Yes', making the market less informative and potentially creating confusion.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets for this event, as Kalshi's 'Yes' resolution for either team winning is not a standard win/loss market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Napoli Basketball or Reyer Venezia). If postponed, market remains open. If canceled, resolves 50-50. Source: flashscoreusa.com. "If the Napoli Basketball win, the market will resolve to "Napoli Basketball". If the Reyer Venezia win, the market will resolve to "Reyer Venezia".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Napoli Basket or Reyer Venezia wins. "If Napoli Basket wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Reyer Venezia wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for November 1 at 6:00AM ET: If the Napoli Basketball win, the market will resolve to "Napoli Basketball". If the Reyer Venezia win, the market will resolve to "Reyer Venezia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either team wins the designated game as scheduled. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the outcome of the Italian basketball matchup between Napoli Basketball and Reyer Venezia. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $22,288, with $22,260 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view, while showing some divergence, allows traders to compare probabilities and potentially capitalize on discrepancies. Polymarket currently favors Spread: Napoli Basketball (-4.5) with approximately 99% chance, while Kalshi shows no clear leading market at this time. This provides a comprehensive overview of the prediction market for this event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective beliefs of traders who have 'skin in the game'. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially when there's significant public information available. However, sportsbooks may react more quickly to breaking news like player injuries, while this market’s price discovery may lag slightly. Both offer valuable insights, but represent distinct approaches to forecasting the outcome of the Italian basketball matchup.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise due to variations in trader demographics, market-making activity, and differing fee structures. Polymarket may attract a different class of traders than Kalshi, leading to varying interpretations of the same information. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. The differing market structures and user bases contribute to the observed price differences for this Italian basketball matchup, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event. These differences present opportunities for arbitrage.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions would likely cause price movement. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the Italian basketball matchup could also shift expectations. Major upsets in related basketball leagues or significant changes in public sentiment could also influence trading activity. Monitoring sports news, team announcements, and overall market trends will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the price of this market.