TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:54 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 3 at 2:30PM ET: If the Napoli Basket win, the market will resolve to "Napoli Basket". If the Pallacanestro Reggiana win, the market will resolve to "Pallacanestro Reggiana". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 3 at 2:30PM ET: If the Napoli Basket win, the market will resolve to "Napoli Basket". If the Pallacanestro Reggiana win, the market will resolve to "Pallacanestro Reggiana". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This can be due to the wisdom of the crowd effect, where the collective predictions of many individuals can be more accurate than those of a few experts. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of traders actively speculating on the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions about the teams' chances of winning.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Napoli Basket versus Pallacanestro Reggiana game. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the final score and declare a winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Game-day performance, such as strong offensive or defensive showings in early matchups, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, broader basketball news or analysis from reputable sources could sway traders' opinions and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.