TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between two teams competing in China's League 1. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Markets will reflect whether one team wins outright or if the game ends level.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Nantong Zhiyun vs Ningbo Professional match scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Nantong Zhiyun, a win for Ningbo Professional, or a tie. If the match concludes with an equal score at the end of regulation time, the Tie market resolves as the winner. Should the game be cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will instead settle at a fair price according to the platform's procedures. The resolution strictly considers the result within normal time only, with no account for subsequent playoff mechanisms.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, or when new information emerges that hasn’t been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can reveal insights into market perceptions of the Nantong Zhiyun vs Ningbo Professional match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Nantong Zhiyun vs Ningbo Professional match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective beliefs about the event's likely result. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nantong Zhiyun vs Ningbo Professional match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Nantong Zhiyun or Ningbo Professional could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or media coverage, can drive price fluctuations. Any late-breaking information related to the teams or the match itself has the potential to move this market.