TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 9:42 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in China's top league. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for a specific date and time. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow predefined resolution guidelines.
The market resolves based on the result of the men's professional China CBA basketball game between the Nanjing Monkey Kings and the Sichuan Blue Whales, scheduled for October 27, 2026, at 7:35 AM EDT. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant difference emerges between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook lines, it could indicate disagreement about the true likelihood of an outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may respond to different information.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Nanjing Monkey Kings versus Sichuan Blue Whales game. The winning team, as declared by official league sources, will determine the winning contract in this market. Traders holding the winning contract will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the event might also impact perceived team strength. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role. Finally, major upsets or surprising plays during the game itself would likely cause rapid price adjustments in this market.