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410,833
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Closed: Oct 23, 11:36 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:35AM ET: If the Nanjing Monkey King win, the market will resolve to "Nanjing Monkey King". If the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin win, the market will resolve to "Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:35AM ET: If the Nanjing Monkey King win, the market will resolve to "Nanjing Monkey King". If the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin win, the market will resolve to "Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets can sometimes identify mispricings or incorporate information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities diverge from sportsbook implied probabilities, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the matchup.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, and traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own predictions and the market’s consensus.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nanjing Monkey King versus Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin basketball game. The platform will verify the final score against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected performance in preceding games for either the Nanjing Monkey King or the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the teams and their chances of winning can impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Major upsets in other related games could also indirectly affect this market.