TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:21 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in China's League 1 between Nanjing City and Dalian Kun City. The result depends solely on who wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends with both teams level, that outcome is separately identified.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Nanjing City vs Dalian Kun City China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective team market if that team wins the match within regular time; the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes in a draw. Extra time and penalty shootout results are explicitly excluded from consideration. Should the match be cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s procedures. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, or suggest that the crowd on Kalshi has a different expectation than the general public.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes of the Nanjing City vs Dalian Kun City match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs, and also indicates the implied probability of that outcome being realized.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nanjing City vs Dalian Kun City match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The final score and official match statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted outcome matches the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Nanjing City or Dalian Kun City could significantly shift the odds. Additionally, weather conditions on match day, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis and commentary, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 31, 2026 resolution.