TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Nagoya vs Cerezo: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Nagoya vs Cerezo?

Volume:
$4,946

Nagoya wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Nagoya wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 7:57 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nagoya wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,735
N/A
N/A
$1,734
Settled
No
kalshi

Cerezo wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,321
N/A
N/A
$1,321
Settled
No
kalshi

Nagoya wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,034
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
No
kalshi

Cerezo wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$855
N/A
N/A
$855
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Nagoya and Cerezo, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match is part of the Japan J1 League and occurs within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus any stoppage time.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the Nagoya vs Cerezo Japan J1 League match scheduled for October 21, 2026. Four distinct primary rules define specific victory margins: Nagoya winning by more than 2.5 goals, Nagoya winning by more than 1.5 goals, Cerezo winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Cerezo winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Nagoya vs Cerezo match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and historical price movements. You can see how traders are positioning themselves on the outcome of this event in real-time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $4,946, with $4,946 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a visual representation of the market’s activity, allowing you to quickly assess the prevailing sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to the spread.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of experts, while this market incorporates insights from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there is significant uncertainty or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Nagoya vs Cerezo match. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the probabilities involved, though it’s important to remember they represent different types of forecasts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Nagoya vs Cerezo match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their forecasts are correct. The current price indicates what the market believes is the fair value of the outcome, based on all available information and the collective judgment of participants.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Nagoya vs Cerezo match will be used to determine the winning contracts. Resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sporting authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will forfeit their investment. The process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Nagoya or Cerezo could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability, coaching changes, or other relevant developments are likely to cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.