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410,482

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4,340

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63%

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Nagoya Grampus vs. Cerezo Ōsaka
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Nagoya Grampus vs. Cerezo Ōsaka?

Volume:
$86,846

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 7:58 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,940
N/A
N/A
$22,772
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Nagoya Grampus vs. Cerezo Ōsaka)

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nagoya

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,129
N/A
N/A
$12,637
Settled
No
polymarket

Nagoya Grampus

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,018
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cerezo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,058
N/A
N/A
$8,383
Settled
No
polymarket

Cerezo Ōsaka

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Ōsaka on October 21, 2026. Markets exist for Nagoya Grampus winning, Cerezo Ōsaka winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms; Polymarket resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi's behavior is undefined.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this scenario, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Nagoya Grampus wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, 'No' otherwise. If canceled, resolves 'No'. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official stats are delayed.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Nagoya Grampus, Cerezo Osaka, or a Tie occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 21, 2026 between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Ōsaka.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Nagoya vs Cerezo professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the associated team wins the match within this regulation time. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring. This market’s implied probability, derived from trading activity, may be more accurate, especially as new information emerges. However, sportsbooks typically offer a wider range of betting options than are currently available in this market. The difference between the two can also be influenced by differing levels of expertise among participants.