TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Slovenian Prva Liga between Nafta Lendava and Aluminij Kidricevo. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. If the game ends in a tie, a separate market will resolve positively.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Nafta Lendava vs Aluminij Kidricevo professional Slovenian Prva Liga soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Nafta Lendava resolves the 'Nafta Lendava' market to Yes; a win for Aluminij Kidricevo resolves the 'Aluminij Kidricevo' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from the resolution criteria. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s procedures. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast for the Slovenian PrvaLiga match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nafta Lendava vs Aluminij Kidricevo match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score and official match statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, as well as any shifts in public opinion, may lead to increased trading activity and price adjustments on Kalshi. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities here.