TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 4:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Nafta 1903 Lendava and Aluminij Kidricevo, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nafta 1903 Lendava" if Nafta 1903 Lendava are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aluminij Kidricevo" if Aluminij Kidricevo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Nafta 1903 Lendava and Aluminij Kidricevo, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nafta 1903 Lendava" if Nafta 1903 Lendava are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aluminij Kidricevo" if Aluminij Kidricevo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets offer sharper odds, particularly when there's significant information asymmetry or a strong contrarian signal.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Lendava or Aluminij will score first. As more shares are traded for one outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the teams' form, potential starting lineups, and other relevant factors. This dynamic pricing system aims to converge towards the true probability of the event.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team scores the first goal in the Nafta 1903 Lendava versus Aluminij Kidricevo match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available information and the established rules of Polymarket.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lendava or Aluminij would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the managers, could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate new information or a change in market perception, causing the price to move.