TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Nacional
- Kalshi
Nacional - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 22h:12m:03s
$
Two prominent soccer teams compete in a high-stakes match where the outcome determines winners based on who scores more goals within the standard match duration. The result is decided solely by the final score after 90 minutes and any added stoppage time, without considering extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Nacional vs San Lorenzo professional APF Division de Honor soccer game scheduled for Nov 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Nacional wins, its market resolves to Yes; if San Lorenzo wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it might signal an opportunity for informed trading, or a divergence in expert opinions about the Nacional vs San Lorenzo match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nacional vs San Lorenzo match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen contract aligned with the final result. The market’s resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, allowing for a fair settlement of all contracts.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also impact trading volume and price movements. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants on Kalshi can create short-term volatility, while broader market sentiment related to the teams’ recent performance will likely play a role in shaping the overall trend.