TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two Uruguayan teams. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the match ends evenly.
The event resolves based on the result of the Nacional vs Montevideo City professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Nacional wins, the 'Nacional' market resolves to Yes. If Montevideo City wins, the 'Montevideo City' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Kalshi may diverge. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the Nacional vs Montevideo City match.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nacional vs Montevideo City match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity at sportsbooks, or shifts in public sentiment as reflected in polls and analysis, may impact the price of contracts on Kalshi related to the Nacional vs Montevideo City match.