TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 8:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Nacional and Liverpool M in Uruguay’s top division. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Nacional vs Liverpool M professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for the Nacional market occurs if Nacional wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Liverpool M market occurs if Liverpool M wins within regulation. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends level after regulation. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets exclusively consider results from regular time, with no account for extended play or tie-breaking procedures.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could signal an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the match. It’s always wise to compare and contrast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Nacional vs Liverpool match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The platform uses a margin system to ensure all trades are backed by collateral.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Nacional vs Liverpool match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals and staying updated on the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.