TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Nacional vs CD Recoleta
kalshi

What is the result of Nacional vs CD Recoleta?

Volume:
$466,853

Nacional

 - Kalshi

Nacional - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 8:16 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nacional

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$307,887
N/A
N/A
$132,271
Settled
Yes
kalshi

CD Recoleta

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,516
N/A
N/A
$51,198
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,451
N/A
N/A
$47,111
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Nacional and CD Recoleta. Bettors can speculate on whether Nacional will win, CD Recoleta will win, or if the game will end in a tie within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result of that specific match, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event involves determining the winner of a professional APF Division de Honor soccer match between Nacional and CD Recoleta scheduled for October 12, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are considered: Nacional win, CD Recoleta win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The platform disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Nacional vs CD Recoleta match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $466,853, with $413,100 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how PredictionHero users are assessing the likelihood of various results in this soccer contest. The dashboard is designed to give you a clear understanding of market sentiment.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of PredictionHero users. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. If a large number of people believe in an outcome not fully reflected in sportsbook odds, the price here will adjust accordingly. It's a valuable comparison point for anyone looking to assess the true probabilities surrounding the Nacional vs CD Recoleta match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and trading activity, providing a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Nacional vs CD Recoleta match.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Nacional vs CD Recoleta match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will be determined by the final score and any applicable tie-breaking rules. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or address any losing positions based on the final, verified result.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Nacional or CD Recoleta would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and how they are interpreted by the PredictionHero community is key to understanding potential price shifts in this market.