TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Nacional vs Braga: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Nacional vs Braga?

Volume:
$22,860

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 4:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,064
N/A
N/A
$6,063
Settled
No
kalshi

Braga wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,302
N/A
N/A
$3,341
Settled
No
kalshi

Braga wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,501
N/A
N/A
$3,501
Settled
No
kalshi

Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$992
N/A
N/A
$842
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Nacional and Braga, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent, measured by specific goal differences. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Nacional vs Braga professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026. Four distinct outcome scenarios are evaluated: Nacional winning by more than 2.5 goals, Nacional winning by more than 1.5 goals, Braga winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Braga winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met—meaning the winning team secures a victory with the specified goal margin—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently, and the governing league’s official rules apply to the match outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Nacional vs Braga match tracks the current price of contracts representing outcomes in this market. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the price has fluctuated over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $20,023. The total volume traded on this market is $22,860. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how other traders are positioning themselves ahead of the event. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market’s activity.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence among traders and sportsbook operators.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a constantly updating assessment of the event’s potential results.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Nacional vs Braga match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final official result of the match, including any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures as defined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader league developments, could also play a role. Furthermore, major weather forecasts impacting playing conditions or even significant public opinion shifts based on expert analysis could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.