TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 9:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether MVK Esports will win their League of Legends match against FURIA Esports at the Worlds 2026 tournament. Currently, Kalshi gives MVK Esports a 72.0% probability of winning, while FURIA Esports is at 30.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, as reported by the Worlds 2026 tournament organizers. Keep a close watch on the start of the Worlds 2026 tournament on October 15, 2026, as the outcome of this match will determine resolution.
If MVK Esports wins the Worlds 2026: MVK Esports vs. FURIA Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If FURIA Esports wins the Worlds 2026: MVK Esports vs. FURIA Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the MVK Esports vs. FURIA Esports match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time forecast. The closer to the event date, the more the price will converge towards either 0 or 100, representing increasing confidence in one outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the MVK Esports vs. FURIA Esports match as reported by the event organizer. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 15, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or team strategies could significantly shift expectations. Any announcements about roster changes or unexpected tactical adjustments by either MVK Esports or FURIA Esports would likely impact trading activity. Additionally, major upsets in other related esports events or shifts in public sentiment based on analyst predictions could also cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.