TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Mushuc Runa vs Orense
kalshi

What is the result of Mushuc Runa vs Orense?

Volume:
$983,852

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 6:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$288,208
N/A
N/A
$173,706
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mushuc Runa

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$411,349
N/A
N/A
$250,395
Settled
No
kalshi

Orense

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$284,294
N/A
N/A
$171,817
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether the soccer match between Mushuc Runa and Orense will end in a tie. Currently, the probability of a tie on Kalshi is 88.0%, with Mushuc Runa winning at 8.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the Oct 19, 2026 match, as reported by the official result of the Ecuador LigaPro soccer game. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 19, 2026, as that will begin the window for resolution of this market.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Mushuc Runa vs Orense professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer match scheduled for October 19, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Mushuc Runa win, Orense win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a win for either Mushuc Runa or Orense within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per platform rules. The resolution strictly considers the result within regular time, with no account for post-regulation periods such as extra time or penalties.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Ecuadorian soccer match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $983,852. The 24-hour volume is $950,906, indicating recent trading activity. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and potential shifts in expectations leading up to the event.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies. It's possible to see differences due to varying levels of information and analysis incorporated into each.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current market reflects the aggregated insights of those trading on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ecuadorian soccer match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions, or even pre-match commentary from analysts, could also trigger movement. Major upsets in other related matches, or even broader trends in soccer performance, might also play a role in how traders adjust their positions leading up to Oct 19, 2026.