TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 9:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Mushuc Runa SC and Orense SC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mushuc Runa SC" if Mushuc Runa SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Orense SC" if Orense SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Mushuc Runa SC and Orense SC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mushuc Runa SC" if Mushuc Runa SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Orense SC" if Orense SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders, aiming to accurately predict the probability of each team scoring first. While sportsbooks may initially favor one team based on pre-game analysis, the prediction market can quickly adjust based on new information or shifts in sentiment, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the true likelihood of each outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – Mushuc Runa SC, Orense SC, or neither team. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, creating a real-time forecast of which team will score first in the match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, scores the first goal in the Mushuc Runa SC versus Orense SC match. If neither team manages to score during the regular playing time, the 'Neither team to score first' outcome will be considered the result. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also impact the probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market before Oct 19, 2026.