TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Mushuc Runa SC vs. Manta FC
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Mushuc Runa SC vs. Manta FC?

Total volume:
$300
Volume 24h:
$239
396%
Liquidity:
$11,439
45%
Open interest:
$288
411%

Mushuc Runa

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 22h:16m:33s

Mushuc Runa wins

63%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 63¢ buys you 159 shares | Odds: 63% Total Payout: $159 | Net Profit: $59 Multiplier: 1.59x | ROI: 59% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mushuc Runa

Trade
63%
Yes 63¢No 38¢
1¢
N/A
$125
136%
N/A
$125
22h 16m
Active
polymarket

Mushuc Runa SC

Trade
63%
3%
Yes 63¢No 38¢
1¢
$4,579
$5
0%
N/A
N/A
19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
63%
Yes 63¢No 38¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
23%
Yes 23¢No 78¢
1¢
N/A
$1
0%
N/A
$1
22h 16m
Active
polymarket

Draw (Mushuc Runa SC vs. Manta FC)

Trade
23%
1%
Yes 24¢No 78¢
2¢
$4,542
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
23%
Yes 23¢No 78¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Manta

Trade
15%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
1¢
N/A
$164
6,986%
N/A
$162
22h 16m
Active
polymarket

Manta FC

Trade
15%
1%
Yes 16¢No 86¢
2¢
$2,318
$5
0%
N/A
N/A
19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
15%
Yes 15.5¢No 86¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a LigaPro Primera A soccer match between Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC, scheduled for November 3, 2026. Markets ask who will win or if the match will end in a draw, based on the result within the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing handling of game cancellations or abandonment. Polymarket explicitly defines resolution in these cases, while Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of the game being completed before taking a position. Polymarket's markets offer more defined outcomes in the event of a cancellation or abandonment, but Kalshi's markets may be simpler if the game is completed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' (Mushuc Runa doesn't win) or 'Yes' (draw) if canceled or abandoned by Nov 5, 2026. Follows official ruling if abandoned. "If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Implicitly resolves based on the completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit rules for cancellation or abandonment. "If Tie is the result of the Mushuc Runa vs Manta professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Ecuador LigaPro soccer match between Mushuc Runa and Manta, scheduled for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are considered: Mushuc Runa win, Manta win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' outcome resolves positively. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Ecuadorian Serie A match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $300, with $235 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how the prediction market is pricing the probability of different results in the match. The dashboard provides a combined view of probabilities, aggregating data from both venues to give a broader perspective on where the crowd believes the outcome will land. This market for the Ecuadorian Serie A match reflects a collective forecast.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, factoring in a house edge, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at incorporating diverse information and reflecting the true probabilities of events. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume of this market can influence the odds, as new information and trading activity shift the consensus. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also influence pricing. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform impacts price discovery; a market with higher volume generally has more accurate odds. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-11-03? at 62.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Mushuc Runa wins at 63.0%, highlighting these differing perspectives.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Ecuadorian Serie A match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score and official confirmation of the match result. The current volume of $300 indicates significant interest in predicting the outcome of this contest.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for Mushuc Runa SC or Manta FC would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected results in other Ecuadorian Serie A matches could also influence perceptions of team strength and affect trading activity. Furthermore, major weather events impacting playing conditions or any controversies surrounding the match could introduce uncertainty and volatility. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis for the latest developments that could move this market.