TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the college football game between Murray St. and South Dakota St. Currently, Kalshi gives South Dakota St. wins a 99.0% probability, while Murray St. wins is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Murray St. vs South Dakota St. game as reported by the official result of the contest, with resolution source being if Murray St. wins the Murray St. vs South Dakota St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 24, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s outcome.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Murray St. vs South Dakota St. college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and settles according to the official result. Should the game be canceled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring an equitable outcome under unforeseen circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on factors like team statistics and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by supply and demand – if more people believe Murray St. will win, the price for that outcome will increase. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Murray St. vs South Dakota St. game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The contract representing the winning team will pay out, while the contract for the losing team will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Murray St. or South Dakota St. would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or strategic changes could also cause the market to react quickly. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.