TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Slovenian Prva Liga between Mura Murska Sobota and NK Brinje Grosuplje. The result will be determined after the full 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The market will reflect whether one team secures a victory or if the game ends in a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Mura Murska Sobota vs NK Brinje Grosuplje match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team or a tie will resolve the respective markets accordingly. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The outcome excludes extra time or penalty shootout results, focusing solely on the regulation time result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders could potentially profit by buying on one venue and selling on the other. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate new information quickly.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Slovenian football match between Mura Murska Sobota and NK Brinje Grosuplje. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on the day of the match could also play a role, as could any pre-match analysis from sports analysts. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information entering the market, causing prices to adjust. Shifts in public sentiment, even those not directly related to the teams, can also impact trading activity and therefore the price.