TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Slovenian Prva Liga between two teams. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Mura Murska Sobota vs Nafta Lendava professional Slovenian Prva Liga soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match ends in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there is significant uncertainty or inside information not fully captured by sportsbook models. It’s common to see discrepancies, as sportsbooks factor in a profit margin, while this market aims to reflect the true probability of an event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of all participants. The current market price indicates the implied probability of a particular result in the Slovenian PrvaLiga match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Slovenian PrvaLiga match between Mura Murska Sobota and Nafta Lendava, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score will determine the winning outcome, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand when the market has officially reached its conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and outcome. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion or late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could drive trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.