TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Slovenia PrvaLiga game between Mura Murska Sobota and Nafta 1903 Lendava, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Mura Murska Sobota vs. Nafta 1903 Lendava match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Slovenia PrvaLiga game between Mura Murska Sobota and Nafta 1903 Lendava, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Mura Murska Sobota vs. Nafta 1903 Lendava match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their independent assessments. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade against it on Polymarket, driving the prediction market price closer to their collective view. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially as event time approaches and more information is factored in.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the potential result of the Mura vs Nafta match. The market’s efficiency depends on the number of participants and the quality of information they possess.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Mura vs Nafta match – the exact score – will be used to determine the winning share(s). Resolution will occur after the match concludes and official sources have reported the final score. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the market’s pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might influence trading behavior. As the match date approaches, even minor updates can lead to significant price movements in this market, reflecting the evolving expectations of traders.