TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Germany's 3. Liga between Munster and Rot-Weiss Essen. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Munster vs Rot-Weiss Essen professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Munster win, Rot-Weiss Essen win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for Munster, the 'Munster' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, a Rot-Weiss Essen victory resolves the 'Rot-Weiss Essen' market to Yes. Should the game end in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution strictly considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there's significant public interest or uncertainty surrounding the event. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember they represent different types of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Munster vs Rot-Weiss Essen match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective beliefs of participants. The goal is for the market price to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event draws nearer.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Munster vs Rot-Weiss Essen match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the final score and declare a winning outcome based on that information. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the market price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and events can help you understand the dynamics driving the market and potentially identify opportunities for profitable trades before the Munster vs Rot-Weiss Essen match concludes.