TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.4b

24H VOL:

$70,562,328

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1,328,568,758

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,160,309,051

308,325

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30,304

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,927

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Mukono Super Smash T20: Mpata vs Bussana
Sports
kalshi
polymarket

Mukono Super Smash T20: Mpata vs Bussana

Total volume:
$992,337
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$4
8%
Open interest:
$359,842
0%

Mukono Super Smash T20: Mpata vs Bussana - Who wins the toss?

 - Polymarket

Mukono Super Smash T20: Mpata vs Bussana - Who wins the toss? - Polymarket

100%

+0%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

98%98.5%99%99.5%

No volume data

Aug 16

Aug 17

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Vol.

$0.0

·

Resolves Aug 5, 2026

polymarket

Polymarket

Trade
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether the Mukono Super Smash T20 cricket match between Mpata and Bussana, scheduled for July 29, 2026, will be completed. The aggregated consensus probability stands at 100.0%, drawing data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution provided by ESPNcricinfo. The outcome hinges on the official match result and status reported by ESPNcricinfo after the match window closes on July 29, 2026, so keep an eye on any updates from that source as the event date approaches.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use ESPNcricinfo as the primary resolution source and have consistent rules for match outcomes, toss winners, and completion status, including handling of ties, cancellations, and other edge cases.Primary resolution logic: ESPNcricinfo

Core resolution logic:

  • The match winner is determined by the official result published by ESPNcricinfo
  • The toss winner is determined by the official pre-match coin toss result recorded by ESPNcricinfo
  • Match completion is determined by whether an official result is declared, including decisions by DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, Super Over, forfeit/walkover, or other on-field rulings
  • If the match is tied with an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner determines the result
  • If the match is tied without a tiebreak or is abandoned, canceled, or otherwise completed without a winner, markets resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie with Tiebreak: If the match ends tied and an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over) is used, the winner of the tiebreak determines the match result
  • Tie without Tiebreak: If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available, the market resolves 50-50
  • Match Postponement/Rescheduling: If the match is postponed or rescheduled, markets remain open until the listed fixture is completed or permanently canceled
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official result, markets resolve 50-50
Timing: Markets resolve once the official match result, toss result, or completion status is published by ESPNcricinfo, or within 2 hours after the event's conclusion if ESPNcricinfo has not published the resultsOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Mpata and Bussana scheduled for July 29 2026 in Mukono Super Smash T20. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the official result of the match. If either team wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions occurring before the match begins result in $0.50 resolution; if they occur after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, resolution follows that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each venue attracts different user bases and has unique liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For this market, trader behavior, regional interest, and the timing of major news updates all influence pricing. When one platform sees heavier volume or a sudden influx of trades, its implied probability can shift faster than the other. Additionally, differing fee structures and market design choices affect how traders place bets, leading to temporary mismatches in the odds displayed for the same event.

This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will reflect the officially recorded winner of the match, determined by standard cricket match rules and reported through authoritative sports news outlets. No internal platform mechanisms or arbitrary decisions are involved — the market settles based on what is publicly confirmed after the game concludes.

In the run-up to Aug 5, 2026, several signals could shift this market. Key player injuries, weather forecasts affecting match conditions, and tactical announcements from team management often influence trader sentiment. High-profile performances in practice matches or recent form statistics can also cause rapid price adjustments. Any last-minute changes to the venue or match format, as well as breaking news about team strategies, may create volatility, especially if they occur close to the event start time.