TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:34 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Muglaspor and Bursaspor, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Muglaspor vs. Bursaspor match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Muglaspor and Bursaspor, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Muglaspor vs. Bursaspor match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when a large volume of traders participate. Comparing the two can reveal valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s implied probability of that score occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s overall price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Muglaspor vs. Bursaspor match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Muglaspor vs. Bursaspor match will be used to determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and reflected in the market’s settlement process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Muglaspor or Bursaspor would likely impact the implied probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching changes could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed traders could create momentum and drive price fluctuations.