TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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MTK Budapest vs. Budapest Honved FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of MTK Budapest vs. Budapest Honved FC?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$3,804
24%
Open interest:
$0N/A

MTK Budapest

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 04d:10h:16m

Will MTK Budapest win on 2026-11-07?

43%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 45¢ buys you 222 shares | Odds: 43% Total Payout: $222 | Net Profit: $122 Multiplier: 2.22x | ROI: 122% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

MTK Budapest

Trade
43%
Yes 45¢No 59¢
4¢
$1,196
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 16m
Active
kalshi

MTK Budapest

Trade
N/A
N/A
40¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 22¢Max: 40¢
polymarket

Draw (MTK Budapest vs. Budapest Honved FC)

Trade
27%
Yes 28¢No 75¢
3¢
$1,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 16m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
25¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 14¢Max: 25¢
polymarket

Budapest Honved FC

Trade
31%
Yes 33¢No 72¢
5¢
$1,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 10h 16m
Active
kalshi

Budapest Honved

Trade
N/A
N/A
23¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 14¢Max: 23¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group covers the outcome of a Hungary NB I soccer match between MTK Budapest and Budapest Honved FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets ask whether MTK Budapest will win, Budapest Honved FC will win, or the game will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Discrepancy in how cancellations or abandoned matches are handled, particularly regarding no-result provisions.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game abandonment or cancellation when trading. Polymarket markets offer a hedge against these scenarios, while Kalshi markets are more exposed to awarded results.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve to 'No' (for win/loss) or 'Yes' (for draw) if the game is canceled, doesn't start by Nov 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time. "If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No" (for win/loss) and "Yes" (for draw)."
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based solely on the 90-minute result or any awarded result; no explicit no-result provision is stated. "If Tie is the result of the MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved professional Hungarian NB I soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Hungary NB I game between MTK Budapest and Budapest Honved FC, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved professional Hungarian NB I soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: MTK Budapest win, Budapest Honved win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market will resolve to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It’s possible to find value by comparing the probabilities implied by both prediction markets and sportsbooks for this market, and identifying where they disagree on the likely outcome of the Hungarian League match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different user bases and trading dynamics on Polymarket and Kalshi can lead to price discrepancies, even when tracking the same underlying event. Factors like varying liquidity, risk appetite, and information access among traders on each platform contribute to these differences. Furthermore, each platform has its own unique fee structure and market-making activity, which can influence pricing. The volume on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads and more efficient price discovery for this market. These factors can create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders exploit price differences across venues.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Hungarian League match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official match data, including goals scored and any applicable tie-breaking rules. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses, as this will ultimately dictate the settlement of this market. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either MTK Budapest or Budapest Honved FC would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift market sentiment. Additionally, weather conditions on match day, or any controversies surrounding the teams or the league, could influence trading activity. Major announcements related to team management or ownership could also play a role in how this market evolves.