TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Mozambique vs. Ethiopia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Mozambique vs. Ethiopia?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$336
5%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Mozambique

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 10d:11h:45m

Mozambique wins

81%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 81¢ buys you 123 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $123 | Net Profit: $23 Multiplier: 1.23x | ROI: 23% APY not meaningful 10 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mozambique

Trade
N/A
N/A
76¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 11h
Active
polymarket

Mozambique

Trade
50%
1%
Yes 96¢No 97¢
93¢
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 8h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 84.5¢Max: 93¢
kalshi

Ethiopia

Trade
N/A
N/A
76¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 11h
Active
polymarket

Ethiopia

Trade
50%
Yes 96¢No 97¢
93¢
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 8h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 84.5¢Max: 93¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
61¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 11h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Mozambique vs. Ethiopia)

Trade
32%
1%
Yes 60¢No 97¢
57¢
$103
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 8h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 59¢Max: 61¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group covers the outcome of a soccer match between Mozambique and Ethiopia in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers, scheduled for November 13, 2026. Markets ask whether Mozambique, Ethiopia, or a draw will occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed no-result and abandonment provisions, while Kalshi lacks these, creating a risk if the game is not completed as scheduled.Hero tip: Polymarket's market is more robust to game cancellations or abandonment scenarios. Consider this when assessing risk, as Kalshi's market may be more susceptible to a 'No' resolution if the game doesn't complete as scheduled.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Yes' if Mozambique wins, otherwise 'No'. Includes extensive abandonment rules resolving to 'No' if the game is canceled or abandoned without an official result by Nov 15, 2026, and outlines how abandoned games will be resolved based on governing body rulings or the result as played. Source: https://www.cafonline.com/
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Mozambique or Ethiopia wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No specific provisions for cancellations or abandoned games. Source: Not explicitly stated beyond the event details.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Mozambique and Ethiopia, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Mozambique vs Ethiopia AFCON Qualifiers match scheduled for November 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the Mozambique market if Mozambique wins, for the Ethiopia market if Ethiopia wins, and for the Tie market if the game ends level. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Mozambique vs. Ethiopia match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the event’s potential results, reflecting the collective predictions of market participants. The dashboard provides a centralized location to monitor price movements and understand how opinions are shifting as new information becomes available regarding this match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets incentivize participants to express their genuine beliefs about the outcome of the Mozambique vs. Ethiopia match, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. This market’s price reflects the wisdom of the crowd, while sportsbook odds reflect the bookmaker’s assessment and risk management.

Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to a number of factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Mozambique vs. Ethiopia match. Trading volume and liquidity can also differ significantly, impacting price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the resulting prices. These differences contribute to a dynamic pricing environment across the two venues.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Mozambique vs. Ethiopia match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the competition, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as this will finalize the outcome of this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions for either Mozambique or Ethiopia would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also influence the odds. Finally, major upsets in other related matches or broader shifts in public sentiment regarding the teams’ performance could all contribute to movement in this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.