TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Moulis Pavel and Cmil Marcel in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 4 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moulis Pavel' if Moulis Pavel wins against Cmil Marcel. This market will resolve to 'Cmil Marcel' if Cmil Marcel wins against Moulis Pavel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Moulis Pavel and Cmil Marcel in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 4 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moulis Pavel' if Moulis Pavel wins against Cmil Marcel. This market will resolve to 'Cmil Marcel' if Cmil Marcel wins against Moulis Pavel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price reflects what traders are willing to pay for a unit of exposure to the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Pavel vs. Cmil match, as reported by the governing sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled and their positions finalized.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about player fitness or tactical adjustments will likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders, or even large media coverage focusing on one player, could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the perceived probabilities before Oct 11, 2026.