TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Schwaerzler and Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg. This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Joel Schwaerzler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Schwaerzler and Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg. This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Joel Schwaerzler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe one player will win, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially creating value compared to sportsbook offerings. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of crowd-sourced predictions. It's always wise to compare both to inform your decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a collective assessment of the likelihood of each player winning. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system that reflects the evolving expectations of the crowd. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of each player’s chances.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Schwaerzler vs Gueymard-Wayenburg match will be used to determine the winning share. The platform will rely on official results and widely accepted sources to establish the definitive outcome. Traders should ensure they understand the resolution timeline and have sufficient time to adjust their positions before the event concludes. The final result will be reflected in the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact the market. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could sway traders' opinions. Major upsets in other related matches might also indirectly affect this market as perceptions of player momentum change. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.