TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Motor Lublin and Slask Wroclaw. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. The market will resolve based on which team wins or if the match ends in a tie within this timeframe.
The event resolves based on the result of the Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for either Motor Lublin or Slask Wroclaw occurs if the respective team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a tie after the same period. Extra time and penalty kicks do not affect the resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of expertise. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, this market might show a more nuanced expectation if traders believe the other team has a higher chance of winning. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the available data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, leading to a potentially more informed price than traditional methods. Currently, the most likely outcome according to Kalshi is Slask Wroclaw wins.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Motor Lublin or Slask Wroclaw would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. News regarding weather conditions on match day, or any controversies surrounding the teams, could also contribute to price movement. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move this market.