TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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MotoGP Grand Prix of Qatar: Race Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win MotoGP Grand Prix of Qatar?

Total volume:
$1,700
Volume 24h:
$635N/A
Liquidity:
$61
6%
Open interest:
$1,604
44%

Marc Marquez

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 05d:20h:14m

Marc Marquez wins

51%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 55¢ buys you 182 shares | Odds: 51% Total Payout: $182 | Net Profit: $82 Multiplier: 1.82x | ROI: 82% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marc Marquez

Trade
51%
13%
Yes 55¢No 48¢
3¢
N/A
$1,066
33%
N/A
$970
5d 20h 14m
Active
polymarket

Marc Marquez

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
51%
Yes 55¢No 48¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Marco Bezzecchi

Trade
12%
Yes 9¢No 95¢
4¢
N/A
$50
0%
N/A
$50
5d 20h 14m
Active
polymarket

Marco Bezzecchi

Trade
99%
2%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
12%
Yes 9¢No 95¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Ai Ogura

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 93¢
3¢
N/A
$28
0%
N/A
$28
5d 20h 14m
Active
polymarket

Ai Ogura

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10%
Yes 10¢No 93¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Alex Marquez

Trade
8%
2%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
N/A
$555
111%
N/A
$555
5d 20h 14m
Active
polymarket

Alex Marquez

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
8%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

Pedro Acosta

Trade
99%
49%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
kalshi

Pedro Acosta

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 20h 14m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 6¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

Raul Fernandez

Trade
99%
2%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
polymarket

Jorge Martin

Trade
99%
2%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
polymarket

Brad Binder

Trade
99%
2%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
kalshi

Brad Binder

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 20h 14m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 6¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

Joan Mir

Trade
99%
2%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
kalshi

Joan Mir

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 20h 14m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 6¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

Fabio Di Giannantonio

Trade
99%
2%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
kalshi

Fabio Di Giannantonio

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 20h 14m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 6¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

Francesco Bagnaia

Trade
99%
2%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
kalshi

Francesco Bagnaia

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 20h 14m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 6¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

Luca Marini

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
kalshi

Luca Marini

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 20h 14m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 6¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

Johann Zarco

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
kalshi

Johann Zarco

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 20h 14m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 6¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

Diogo Moreira

Trade
99%
2%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 14h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: —Max: —
Total markets: 25 of 52

Description

This prediction group concerns the winner of the 2026 MotoGP Grand Prix of Qatar. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer markets on individual riders winning the race, with resolution tied to the official MotoGP race classification.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: SKU Risk: Polymarket includes an 'Other' option for riders not explicitly listed, while Kalshi only offers markets on specific riders.Hero tip: If a rider not listed on Kalshi wins, the Kalshi markets will likely be difficult to resolve. Consider hedging with Polymarket's 'Other' option.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Other' if a rider not listed wins. Resolution source is the official MotoGP race classification published within 24 hours of the race end. Disqualifications after this period do not affect resolution.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if a specific listed rider finishes first. No 'Other' option is available. Resolution is based on the main race result scheduled for November 8, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 MotoGP Grand Prix of Qatar, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If the Grand Prix race at the 2026 MotoGP Grand Prix of Qatar is canceled, declared null and void, or no race classification listing a winner is published by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve in favor of the rider listed in first place in the most recent version of the Grand Prix race classification published by MotoGP within 24 hours after the race ends. If the race is stopped and restarted, only the classification that awards championship points for the race will be used. Disqualifications, appeals, or other changes made after that time will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market. If a listed rider withdraws or does not take part in the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the race is won by a rider who is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Grand Prix race classification published by MotoGP (motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified rider finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, at the 2026 Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar. If the designated rider achieves the victory, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements within 48 hours of the original start time keep markets open and resolve according to the final official results. If the race is canceled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various racers winning the Qatar MotoGP race. It aggregates data from both platforms to provide a consensus view of who is favored to win. Currently, the combined volume across both venues is $1,700, with $635 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how the prediction market is pricing different outcomes for the Qatar MotoGP race and compare it to traditional betting odds. The dashboard offers a comprehensive look at market sentiment leading up to the event.

Prediction market odds, like those shown for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while prediction markets aim for accurate probabilities. Therefore, discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or market dynamics. This market, for example, may show a different probability for a particular rider winning than a sportsbook, potentially offering value to arbitrage traders who identify these differences. It’s important to compare both to make informed decisions.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Qatar MotoGP race, as officially declared by MotoGP organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. The resolution will be based on the official race results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official MotoGP channels for the final race results and subsequent market settlement.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 15, 2026. Rider injuries or unexpected changes in bike performance during practice sessions would be major catalysts. Weather conditions on race day, such as rain, can dramatically alter the competitive landscape and shift probabilities. News regarding team strategies or tire choices could also influence trading activity. Finally, any significant updates on rider fitness or technical developments leading up to the race are likely to move the market, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.