TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Scottish Premiership between Motherwell and St. Mirren. The result is determined by which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If neither team wins during this period, the match ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Motherwell vs St. Mirren professional Scottish Premiership soccer match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Motherwell wins, St. Mirren wins, or the match ends in a tie, each corresponding to their respective markets. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, you may observe convergence between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds. However, discrepancies can persist, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As traders place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time estimate of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price rises, and vice-versa. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Motherwell vs St. Mirren match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and any applicable tie-breaking rules. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Motherwell or St. Mirren would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements from team management or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other sources, could also contribute to volatility. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the likely outcome.